Rethinking Risk: From Transfer to Resilience
June 18, 2026
By Donna Nadeau
Head of Large Commercial, AXA XL
The risk environment today isn’t what it used to be. It’s more complex, more interconnected, and far less predictable. The old days of isolated threats -- cyberattack here, a weather event there -- are gone. We’re now living in a poly-crisis world, where cyber threats, global health crises, climate upheavals, geopolitical tensions, and systemic risks collide, creating cascading impacts that can cripple businesses in a heartbeat.
So, how do organizations stay resilient in this chaos? The answer lies in rethinking risk management from the ground up. It involves embracing innovation, leveraging data, and building flexibility into every strategy.
The new risk reality
Today’s risk landscape has changed a lot. Risks aren’t just isolated events anymore. They’re connected in a complex web, where one incident can set off a chain reaction. This means risks don’t act alone; they influence and amplify each other. It’s the domino effect. A cyberattack on a major cloud provider can disrupt thousands of companies worldwide. Wildfire in California can destroy property but also mess with energy supplies and logistics. Geopolitical conflicts ripple through energy markets, shipping routes, and inflation.
These cascading effects happen more often and are more real than ever, pushing organizations to rethink how they manage risk. Many still rely on siloed risk models, which can overlook interconnected threats and lead to incomplete or delayed responses to emerging crises.
Equally important is understanding the rising impact of intangible risks. As enterprise value shifts toward data, digital infrastructure, intellectual property, and brand reputation, disruptions in these areas can have exponentially greater consequences. In a recent Willis 2026 Reputational Risk Readiness Survey, 37% of respondents said they were aware of the key hotspots of negative sentiment around their brand, down from 56% in 2024. The recent survey showed a widening gap. Traditional risk models often overlook assets, like reputation, creating blind spots in crisis situations.
Adding to the complexity is the evolving regulatory landscape. Increased scrutiny on AI governance, climate disclosures, and legal exposures requires organizations to proactively adapt to new compliance standards. Failure to do so not only risks legal penalties but also damages reputation and operational stability.
Ultimately, the modern risk environment demands a holistic, interconnected approach. Organizations must move beyond siloed thinking to understand how risks cascade across systems and how intangible assets and regulations influence their vulnerabilities. Adopting this integrated perspective is crucial to effectively managing today’s interconnected risks.
Organizations must move beyond siloed thinking to understand how risks cascade across systems and how intangible assets and regulations influence their vulnerabilities.
From transfer to resilience
For years, the default was to transfer risk through insurance. That’s still vital, but there are more options. Many companies are asking a fundamental question: What risks should we retain, and what should we transfer? The shift is toward a more deliberate, strategic balance.
Single-parent captives and group captives, involving multiple organizations forming a collective to share risks, are leading the charge. They allow companies to retain specific risks internally, gain transparency, and exert their own control over cost volatility. That’s why the captive market is showing considerable growth. Industry research estimates that the global captive market was worth approximately USD 79.10 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to somewhere near USD 120 billion by 2034, a compound annual growth rate of nearly 4%.
There are also structured risk solution options designed to spread and manage the financial impact of losses over multiple years, providing stability and predictability to help smooth out financial impacts over time and support long-term planning.
Risk transfer isn’t enough
Risk transfer is important, but resilience changes the game for how organizations think about risk. Organizations are investing heavily in resilience, strengthening operational controls, diversifying suppliers, and stress-testing assumptions. These proactive measures not only reduce the likelihood of losses but also improve insurance terms and capacity. According to a recent New York Times article – C.E.O.s Lean In on ‘Resilience’ to Manage Global Turmoil, resilience has become the new normal for corporate leaders amid ongoing uncertainty. The ability to stay calm and lead through shocks has become the new baseline for corporate leaders facing challenges like pandemics, wars, and rising energy prices, among others.
As resilience becomes the new normal in a world of uncertainty, many firms reserve insurance for extreme events and manage other risks in-house, reinforcing long-term strategy and financial strength. It’s about using insurance strategically, aligning with long-term strategies and financial strength, and creating a more agile, responsive risk posture.
Preparing for what’s next
Thriving in uncertainty hinges on resilience. Companies must challenge assumptions, map dependencies, and embed flexibility into their strategies. Resilience is more than optimization; it’s the ability to absorb shocks and recover quickly. Insurance plays a crucial role: financial protection, faster recovery, and risk assessment expertise. Innovations like parametric insurance, captives, and tailored coverage support operating continuity. Yet insurance is only one piece.
Forward-looking organizations blend traditional coverage, captives, operational controls, and technology to create a comprehensive risk management ecosystem that supports agility and long term resilience. Reactive risk management isn’t enough in a fast changing world.
A proactive approach, anticipating and mitigating threats before they materialize, depends on data at scale and sophistication. By using data to face risks head on, organizations stay ahead, minimize losses, and foster a culture of continuous resilience. This stance protects assets and strengthens trust and collaboration among stakeholders.
In 2026, risk management isn’t about predicting every threat; it’s about building the capacity to adapt and recover. Organizations that innovate, leverage data, and prioritize resilience will not only survive but thrive.
Donna Nadeau shared more thoughts on interconnected risks on a recent RIMScast. Listen to it here: Facing Into Risk: Navigating the New Risk Landscape
To contact the author of this story, please complete the below form
More Articles
- By Region
Related Resources
Alternative solutions offer customized ways to tackle complex risks
Beyond the polycrisis; partnership in risk
Global Asset Protection Services, LLC, and its affiliates (“AXA XL Risk Consulting”) provides risk assessment reports and other loss prevention services, as requested. In this respect, our property loss prevention publications, services, and surveys do not address life safety or third party liability issues. This document shall not be construed as indicating the existence or availability under any policy of coverage for any particular type of loss or damage. The provision of any service does not imply that every possible hazard has been identified at a facility or that no other hazards exist. AXA XL Risk Consulting does not assume, and shall have no liability for the control, correction, continuation or modification of any existing conditions or operations. We specifically disclaim any warranty or representation that compliance with any advice or recommendation in any document or other communication will make a facility or operation safe or healthful, or put it in compliance with any standard, code, law, rule or regulation. Save where expressly agreed in writing, AXA XL Risk Consulting and its related and affiliated companies disclaim all liability for loss or damage suffered by any party arising out of or in connection with our services, including indirect or consequential loss or damage, howsoever arising. Any party who chooses to rely in any way on the contents of this document does so at their own risk.
US- and Canada-Issued Insurance Policies
In the US, the AXA XL insurance companies are: Catlin Insurance Company, Inc., Greenwich Insurance Company, Indian Harbor Insurance Company, XL Insurance America, Inc., XL Specialty Insurance Company and T.H.E. Insurance Company. In Canada, coverages are underwritten by XL Specialty Insurance Company - Canadian Branch and AXA Insurance Company - Canadian branch. Coverages may also be underwritten by Lloyd’s Syndicate #2003. Coverages underwritten by Lloyd’s Syndicate #2003 are placed on behalf of the member of Syndicate #2003 by Catlin Canada Inc. Lloyd’s ratings are independent of AXA XL.
US domiciled insurance policies can be written by the following AXA XL surplus lines insurers: XL Catlin Insurance Company UK Limited, Syndicates managed by Catlin Underwriting Agencies Limited and Indian Harbor Insurance Company. Enquires from US residents should be directed to a local insurance agent or broker permitted to write business in the relevant state.
AXA XL, as a controller, uses cookies to provide its services, improve user experience, measure audience engagement, and interact with users’ social network accounts among others. Some of these cookies are optional and we won't set optional cookies unless you enable them by clicking the "ACCEPT ALL" button. You can disable these cookies at any time via the "How to manage your cookie settings" section in our cookie policy.