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Tom Hughes, Head of Marine, Australia and Sameen Naveed, Senior Claims Specialist – Marine

Marine insurance has always protected global trade. Today, it's also helping businesses anticipate how disruption can move through interconnected supply chains – and build resilience before it becomes a loss

Marine insurance has evolved alongside global trade for generations. Increasingly, however, the greatest risks lie not in a single vessel, cargo or port, but in the connections between them. As recent events have demonstrated, a disruption in one part of the world can quickly ripple across supply chains, logistics networks and critical trade corridors. Whether it's drought-driven restrictions at the Panama Canal, attacks on vessels in the Red Sea or the collapse of Baltimore's Francis Scott Key Bridge, local events can rapidly become global business challenges.

For marine insurers, the implication is clear: some of today's most significant exposures are created not by a single asset or location, but by the way interconnected systems respond under pressure. Understanding how risk moves through those systems is becoming just as important as understanding the assets themselves.

Visibility Is the New Advantage

Traditional underwriting fundamentals such as cargo type, transit mode, geography and loss history remain critical. But they are no longer sufficient on their own.

In increasingly complex supply chains, exposure can emerge between origin and destination. Cargo may be delayed, rerouted or concentrated in unexpected locations as trade flows adapt to disruption. As a result, accumulation risk can develop in ways that are harder to predict and manage.

The Red Sea crisis provides a clear example. What began as a regional security issue quickly led to longer transit times, rising freight costs, inventory pressures and supply chain delays worldwide.

For insurers and clients alike, greater visibility into these evolving exposures is becoming a competitive advantage. Understanding where cargo is moving, where values are accumulating and which trade corridors are under pressure enables more informed decisions before disruption translates into loss.

Accumulation Risk Is Changing

Historically, marine accumulation risk was often associated with fixed locations such as ports, terminals and warehouses.

Today, accumulation is increasingly dynamic.

When vessels are delayed, cargo is rerouted or supply chains adjust to changing conditions, concentrations of value can build rapidly and unexpectedly.

The 2021 blockage of the Suez Canal by the Ever Given remains one of the clearest examples. A single incident disrupted a critical global trade artery, creating congestion across supply chains and concentrating exposures far beyond the point of impact.

These events challenge traditional assumptions about risk. The question is no longer only where an asset is located, but what it depends on and how disruption could cascade across the wider system.

That's why collaboration between underwriters, claims specialists, risk engineers, brokers and clients is increasingly important. Looking at interconnected exposures often provides deeper insight than assessing individual assets in isolation.

From Bottlenecks to Systemic Risk

Strategic trade chokepoints such as the Panama Canal, Suez Canal and Strait of Hormuz have always mattered.

What's changing is the nature of the pressure they face.

Climate-related impacts, geopolitical tensions and infrastructure constraints are becoming increasingly interconnected. The Panama Canal's recent water shortages are a case in point. What began as an operational challenge for shipping quickly influenced supply chains, inventory strategies, production timelines and broader commercial decision-making.

For businesses, resilience is no longer simply an operational consideration. It is becoming a strategic capability.

Diversifying suppliers, maintaining route flexibility, strengthening business continuity plans and improving supply chain visibility can all help organisations navigate disruption more effectively.

Learning from the Losses That Never Happened

Some of the most valuable risk insights don't come from major claims.

They come from the disruptions that never became losses.

During recent supply chain disruptions, many businesses avoided significant impacts through proactive planning, alternative logistics arrangements and stronger operational visibility. These events may not appear in claims data, but they reveal important lessons about resilience.

We've often seen organisations face the same disruption and achieve very different outcomes. The difference is rarely the event itself. More often, it comes down to preparedness, decision-making and the ability to adapt quickly.

For insurers and clients, understanding why a loss was avoided can be just as valuable as understanding why one occurred – and can turn a near miss into a practical improvement in risk quality.

The Evolving Role of the Marine Insurer

As supply chains become more complex and uncertainty continues to rise, the role of the marine insurer is evolving.

Today, clients increasingly look for more than capacity. They are seeking insight, perspective and partnership to help them anticipate emerging risks and strengthen resilience before disruption occurs.

Success will depend on combining underwriting expertise, claims intelligence and data analytics. Emerging tools, including AI, can help identify patterns and changing concentrations more quickly – but their value will depend on the quality of the data, context and specialist judgement behind them.

The future of marine insurance will be defined not only by how effectively the industry responds to loss, but by how well it helps clients anticipate where values will accumulate, where dependencies could fail and how disruption may spread.

That is how marine insurance moves beyond protecting trade to helping make it more resilient.

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