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Foreword from Thomas Buberl, CEO of AXA

In a constantly evolving world, anticipating and understanding future risks is essential to better address them. For the past twelve years, AXA has explored emerging threats and their potential impacts in its Future Risks Report, fostering a collective reflection and a call to action to build a safer and more sustainable future.

Every era presents its own challenges. This 2025 edition highlights a world of rising polarizations confronting the globalization of risks. It questions how to combat our increasingly interconnected crises. Social fragmentation is more than ever a threat to our society’s wellbeing, fueled by demographic changes, geopolitical tensions, misinformation and, more indirectly, by key challenges such as climate change and its repercussions – natural disasters, degradation of natural resources, food shortages.

This year, the report shows how this polarization and the decline in social and political cohesion generate additional threats. Whether it’s the crisis of liberal democracy or the growing distrust in public authorities’ ability to effectively manage crises, the feeling of vulnerability is at its peak, both among experts and the general population.

At the dawn of this global shift where our frameworks are being questioned, we need strategic thinking, collective leadership, and innovative ideas. We must co-build a clear vision of the future, deepen cooperation in critical risk areas, and create effective agile frameworks. Global challenges — such as climate change, risks related to artificial intelligence, or financial instability — require more structured international cooperation and enhanced regulation. We have the means.

Public-private sector cooperation is vital to leverage both the experience and the expertise of businesses in continuously adapting, managing risks, and responding to crises.

In this complex environment, insurers also play a crucial role, not only in preventing and mitigating risks, but also in helping to build a more cohesive and resilient society. At AXA, we are fully committed to acting for human progress by protecting what matters, and we are convinced we are not alone. We must act together today, with vision and determination, to overcome the risks of tomorrow and build a safer and more sustainable future.

Executive summary

The Future Risks Report 2025 examines the perceptions of two groups—insurance experts, drawn from AXA and its professional networks, and members of the general population across the globe—about the most important future risks. These range from persistent concerns about climate change to escalating social and geopolitical tensions, the rapidly increasing capabilities of AI, and shifting demographics adding to pressure on public finances.

This year, our survey spotlights how social fragmentation is compounding the world’s vulnerability to risk. Confidence is declining in the capacity of public authorities to handle the deepening global polycrisis, while the unprecedented pace at which technological risks are emerging makes risk management and decision-making increasingly complex. In this challenging environment, insurers are increasingly vital—not only in preventing and mitigating risks, but also in building a more cohesive and resilient society.

Click here to find out more about the key findings and to read the report in full.

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Global Asset Protection Services, LLC, and its affiliates (“AXA XL Risk Consulting”) provides risk assessment reports and other loss prevention services, as requested. In this respect, our property loss prevention publications, services, and surveys do not address life safety or third party liability issues. This document shall not be construed as indicating the existence or availability under any policy of coverage for any particular type of loss or damage. The provision of any service does not imply that every possible hazard has been identified at a facility or that no other hazards exist. AXA XL Risk Consulting does not assume, and shall have no liability for the control, correction, continuation or modification of any existing conditions or operations. We specifically disclaim any warranty or representation that compliance with any advice or recommendation in any document or other communication will make a facility or operation safe or healthful, or put it in compliance with any standard, code, law, rule or regulation. Save where expressly agreed in writing, AXA XL Risk Consulting and its related and affiliated companies disclaim all liability for loss or damage suffered by any party arising out of or in connection with our services, including indirect or consequential loss or damage, howsoever arising. Any party who chooses to rely in any way on the contents of this document does so at their own risk.

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In the US, the AXA XL insurance companies are: Catlin Insurance Company, Inc., Greenwich Insurance Company, Indian Harbor Insurance Company, XL Insurance America, Inc., XL Specialty Insurance Company and T.H.E. Insurance Company. In Canada, coverages are underwritten by XL Specialty Insurance Company - Canadian Branch and AXA Insurance Company - Canadian branch. Coverages may also be underwritten by Lloyd’s Syndicate #2003. Coverages underwritten by Lloyd’s Syndicate #2003 are placed on behalf of the member of Syndicate #2003 by Catlin Canada Inc. Lloyd’s ratings are independent of AXA XL.
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